Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001090 0.001234 0.001380 0.001539 0.001705 0.001874 0.002059
2025-03-09 0.000774 0.000989 0.001217 0.001475 0.001757 0.002052 0.002383
2025-03-16 0.000543 0.000803 0.001097 0.001443 0.001834 0.002256 0.002739
2025-03-23 0.000398 0.000693 0.001046 0.001480 0.001984 0.002539 0.003185
2025-03-30 0.000272 0.000582 0.000979 0.001489 0.002096 0.002779 0.003586
2025-04-06 0.000176 0.000488 0.000922 0.001499 0.002206 0.003014 0.003981
2025-04-13 0.000107 0.000412 0.000875 0.001516 0.002319 0.003250 0.004376
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000323 0.000796 0.001483 0.002366 0.003406 0.004677
2025-04-27 0.000012 0.000248 0.000725 0.001452 0.002410 0.003554 0.004966
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000220 0.000720 0.001508 0.002561 0.003828 0.005401
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000178 0.000684 0.001516 0.002647 0.004022 0.005741
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000113 0.000588 0.001429 0.002607 0.004060 0.005893
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000063 0.000510 0.001369 0.002609 0.004162 0.006139
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000033 0.000454 0.001340 0.002652 0.004317 0.006453
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000014 0.000413 0.001330 0.002721 0.004506 0.006811
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000007 0.000407 0.001379 0.002874 0.004802 0.007300
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000001 0.000385 0.001397 0.002980 0.005040 0.007720
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.000363 0.001413 0.003085 0.005275 0.008136
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000345 0.001433 0.003194 0.005515 0.008558
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000304 0.001404 0.003229 0.005659 0.008861
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001376 0.003263 0.005798 0.009158
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000269 0.001432 0.003421 0.006101 0.009656
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000251 0.001440 0.003507 0.006308 0.010034